Message:
"Why has the GOP been unable to make more headway among Hispanics? One
answer has to do with income. As political scientist Andrew Gelman
notes in his new book, Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State,
lower-income voters continue to vote disproportionately Democratic,
despite a popular notion among pundits that many of them have shifted
to the GOP for cultural reasons. That fact suggests that Hispanics—
nearly half of whom live in households whose earnings fall in the
country’s bottom two income quintiles—would naturally trend
Democratic. And in fact, in the McCain-Obama contest, 83 percent of
Hispanic voters with annual incomes of $15,000 or less voted for
Obama, as did 71 percent of those earning between $15,000 and $30,000.
By contrast, 51 percent of those with household incomes between
$150,000 and $200,000 voted for McCain."
Given that the economy will still likely be the most important issue
in upcoming elections, based on this analysis I think the current
trend in Hispanic voting is self-explanatory. As Dawg151 pointed out,
we see a similar scenario with the black voting bloc who also tend to
religious yet vote consistently for the obviously more liberal Dem
Party. Ethics/morality have been important issues is specific
elections (ex. aftermath of Clinton scandal) but for the most part
people vote their pocket-books and Blacks, Hispanics, Jews and Union
workers know who butters their bread.
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Thu Jul 29 2010 4:39:23 PM